This is a one day delayed demonstration service.
Click here to subscribe to the real-time service.



Global Newsbrokers Forex Service
Lunchtime review at 11:20:01

WEAK UK OUTPUT CONFIRMS RATES ON HOLD

Thursday, January 13

Any lingering suspicions that UK interest rates could rise today will have been dispelled by yet another weak manufacturing output report.

Output fell by 0.1 per cent in November compared with expectations for a 0.3 per cent rise, representing the fifth consecutive monthly decline. This leaves the sector very close to recession, technically defined as two consecutive quarters of decline. Output in Q3 fell by 0.8 per cent and a soft figure for December would confirm a contraction in Q4.

Meanwhile, overall industrial production rose by 0.2 per cent, just half the amount anticipated.

Elsewhere, figures for German 2004 GDP have revealed growth of 1.7 per cent. Interestingly, growth accelerated in Q4 due to increased exports, a trend that coincided with the surge in the euro.

However, Germany's budget deficit once again failed to meet the Stability Pact criteria for the third year running, coming in at 3.9 per cent of GDP.



Main index